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“Most kitchens have the same spices in the spice rack. That does not mean everyone is a good cook.”
– anonymous
The stock market closed lower for the second consecutive week, amid concerns about the Omicron variant and a bad jobs reports. However, key economic fundamentals are booming, and the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index is less than 4% from its all-time closing high set on November 18. Friday morning at 8 a.m., the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that 210,000 net new jobs were created in November, much less than the 530,000 tha..
Since the Omicron variant was cited last Friday by the World Health Organization as a “virus of concern,” stock prices for the last three stock-trading days have gyrated. The Standard & Poor’s 500 plunged -2.3% last Friday, and then rose +2% on Monday, before plunging again today by -1.9%. Tuesday’s plunge came after Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell said Omicron posed new risks to the expansion. The variant’s characteris..
With the Omicron variant breaking news this week, expect market volatility but also keep in mind that does is not mean the Covid-19 bull market is over...
The Standard & Poor’s 500 dropped 2.3% on Friday, its worst one-day loss since February. Only five trading days earlier, the S&P 500 had closed at a record high. Friday’s abrupt reversal occurred after a handful of nations, including the United States, reinstated travel restrictions on visitors coming from southern Africa, a precaution taken to prevent the spread of a new variant of Covid-19. Whether the new variant is prevented..
Population trends of the United States versus other countries rarely make headlines in the financial press, but a population bust has been in the news this week. According to a newly released Pew Research study of U.S. adults, 44% of non-parents ages 18 to 49 say it is “not too or not at all likely that they will have children someday,” an increase of seven percentage points from the 37% who said the same in a 2018 survey. That sounds frighte..
Population trends of the United States versus other countries don’t make headlines in the financial press, but demographics are a key factor driving the math of economic growth and investment returns...
Key forwarding-looking data are very strong, indicating the market-up could go on. The U.S. Leading Economic Index (LEI), has soared well beyond heights previously reached in modern history in recent months, and it surged again last month. The LEI rose nine-tenths of 1% in October, following an increase of one-tenth of 1% in September and seven-tenths of 1% in August. The economics team at The Conference Board, a big-business group th..
Since 1957, a 64-year span of modern history, 21 financial crises are shown here. Charting them against the performance of the Standard & Poor’s 500 index, the key benchmark of the strength of the United States, puts current investment conditions in perspective. Here’s a key observation to help design a low-expense investment strategy: Stocks have soared since the March 2020 Covid bear market low but are not deviating above their 7% long ..
Here are 21 crises that occurred since 1957 charted against the performance of the Standard & Poor’s 500 index, a benchmark of the stock market and proxy for measuring the progress and strength of the United States...
Here are 21 crises that occurred since 1957 charted against the performance of the Standard & Poor’s 500 index, a benchmark of the stock market and proxy for measuring the progress and strength of the United States. Looking back on 64 years of modern American history, here are five observations to help investors plan for the decades ahead: From the late 1960s through 1995, stocks annually averaged less than the 7% rate averaged ..
Earnings drive stock prices. Lately, however, earnings have been driving stock prices to record-breaking prices and, with the fourth quarter economic growth rate about to more than double, stock prices could be lifted higher still. Fourth quarter earnings are likely to surge again, which has economist Ed Yardeni talking about a market melt up. This is a chart from Dr. Ed Yardeni, one of Wall Street’s most widely-followed economists since ..
The stock market closed at a new record high again on positive economic fundamentals, better than expected corporate earnings reports and a bright earnings outlook. Key economic statistics released this past week indicate further profit growth is just ahead. Friday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that 531,000 new jobs were created in October, much more than the 435,000 expected by Wall Street. Last month, the same report on..
Supply chain problems, often cited in the media as the main cause of inflation, are expected to diminish greatly by the end of the year. The high inflation rate on goods is expected to revert to the normal 2% rate experienced for the decade preceding the pandemic by the end of 2022, and prices on some goods may even be rolled back to pre-pandemic levels. For example, lumber prices at Home Depot soared in the Spring of 2021 but reverted to pre-pan..
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